Traders on Kalshi think the Nasdaq-100 will end 2026 above 30,000, predicting a cooler second half of the year

Traders on the prediction market Kalshi are betting that the Nasdaq-100 will close 2026 above 30,000, according to contract pricing on the platform. The bets reflect expectations that the index's gains will moderate in the second half of the year after a sharp rally following earlier geopolitical tensions. Kalshi allows users to trade contracts tied to real-world events and financial outcomes.

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