NYT
The Population Forecasts Are Grim. They’re Still Too Optimistic.
Saturday, July 11, 2026
The United States Census Bureau projects the national population will begin declining after 2080 under current fertility and migration trends. Some demographers argue actual decline may occur sooner due to falling birth rates and reduced immigration.
Original reporting: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/11/opinion/population-forecast-birth-rate.html