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MarketWatch

There’s a 67% chance stocks will suffer a bear market when this rare signal flashes — like it’s doing now

Monday, June 29, 2026


The Dow Jones Industrial Average has recently outperformed the Nasdaq Composite. Historical data indicates that when this pattern occurs, stock market declines of 20 percent or more have followed approximately 67 percent of the time. Market analysts note this divergence between large-cap and technology-heavy indices as a measurable indicator in their forecasting models.

Original reporting: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/theres-a-67-chance-stocks-will-suffer-a-bear-market-when-this-rare-signal-flashes-like-its-doing-now-c8916710?mod=mw_rss_topstories

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