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Wired

With a Better Understanding of Physics, We Could Predict Volcanic Eruptions

Sunday, September 13, 2026


Dr. Jem Steer, a volcanologist at the University of Leeds, stated that improved understanding of volcanic physics could eventually enable eruption forecasts comparable to weather forecasts. Steer did not specify a timeline for achieving such predictive capability. Current volcanic monitoring relies on seismic data, gas emissions, and ground deformation measurements, which provide warnings but not precise eruption predictions.

Original reporting: https://www.wired.com/story/physics-predict-volcanic-eruptions/

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