MarketWatch
Prediction markets see a divided government after midterm elections. Here’s how you should trade, Citi says.
Monday, August 17, 2026
Prediction markets reflected increasing odds of a Democratic sweep in the November midterm elections, with Polymarket showing 48% probability for that outcome as of the report date. Citigroup identified a potential bond market rally as a possible outcome under divided government scenarios. The analysis did not specify which bonds or market conditions would trigger such movement.
