NYT
Republicans’ Home-Field Edge for Senate Seems Just Enough for Now
Wednesday, July 1, 2026
Democratic candidates in competitive Senate races are viewed favorably by voters in their states, according to Times/Siena polling released this week. Republicans hold seats in more states that lean Republican in presidential elections, giving the party a structural advantage in Senate races. Democrats would need to win several seats in states where Republicans performed well in the 2020 presidential election to gain control of the chamber. The polling did not specify which races or states were included in the survey.
Original reporting: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/01/upshot/polls-ohio-iowa-alaska-carolina.html
