Are Political Polls Accurate?

Recent political polls have shown discrepancies between their predictions and actual election results in multiple races across 2024 and 2025. Polling organizations including Gallup, Pew Research Center, and others have publicly acknowledged methodological challenges including declining response rates, difficulty reaching certain demographics, and changes in voter behavior. Specific examples include 2024 midterm predictions that diverged from final vote totals in several competitive Senate races. Polling accuracy continues to vary by state, margin of error, and methodology used.

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