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CNBC

Wednesday’s crucial CPI report will show tamer inflation, according to prediction markets

Monday, August 10, 2026


Prediction market platform Kalshi showed on Monday that odds favored a lower-than-expected July inflation reading. Economists surveyed by consensus expected a specific inflation outcome for the Consumer Price Index report scheduled for Wednesday. The prediction market implied less than a full percentage point probability that the actual figure would exceed the consensus forecast.

Original reporting: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/10/crucial-cpi-report-will-show-tame-inflation-prediction-markets-show.html

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