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Bloomberg

Senators Urge CFTC to Curb Wildfire Prediction Market Bets Over Arson Concerns

Monday, August 3, 2026


A group of Democratic senators sent a letter to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission requesting restrictions on prediction market trading related to wildfires. The senators stated concern that financial incentives from such bets could encourage arson. The CFTC has regulatory authority over commodity futures and derivatives markets.

Original reporting: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-03/prediction-market-bets-on-wildfires-draw-scrutiny-from-senators

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